The Lancet Microbe
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match The Lancet Microbe's content profile, based on 43 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Oliveira Roster, K. I.; Rönn, M. M.; Gorenburg, E. R.; Partl, D. K.; Anderegg, N.; Abel zur Wiesch, P.; Au, C.; Kouyos, R. D.; Martinez, F. P.; Low, N.; Grad, Y. H.
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Numerous factors may influence the optimal rollout of new gonococcal antibiotics. We compared eight rollout strategies using a gonorrhea transmission model and ranked strategies by the number of gonococcal infections and clinically useful antibiotic lifespan. Rankings were most sensitive to the starting ceftriaxone resistance prevalence and screening frequency.
Mogeni, P.; Ochieng, J. B.; Kariuki, K.; Rwigi, D.; Atlas, H. E.; Tickell, K. D.; Aluoch, L. R.; Sonye, C.; Apondi, E.; Ambila, L.; Diakhate, M. M.; Singa, B. O.; Liu, J.; Platts-Mills, J. A.; Saidi, Q.; Denno, D. M.; Fang, F. C.; Walson, J. L.; Houpt, E. R.; Pavlinac, P. B.
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BackgroundThe Toto Bora trial tested whether a course of azithromycin reduced rates of re-hospitalization or death in the 6 months following hospitalization among Kenyan children. We hypothesized that azithromycin would reduce enteric bacteria and increase carriage of macrolide resistance in the subsequent 3 months. MethodsKenyan children (1-59 months) hospitalized and subsequently discharged for non-traumatic conditions provided fecal samples before and 3 months after randomization to a 5-day course of azithromycin or placebo. Quantitative PCR identified enteropathogens and AMR-conferring genes in fecal samples. Generalized estimating equations assessed the impact of the randomization arm on pathogen and resistance gene detection, accounting for baseline presence and site. ResultsAmong 1,393 baseline stools, 12.4% had at least one bacterial enteropathogen, 94.7% had at least one macrolide-resistance gene, and 92.6% had at least one beta-lactamase-resistance gene identified. At month 3, children randomized to azithromycin had a 6.1% higher likelihood of carrying a macrolide resistance gene compared to placebo (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR], 1.06; 95% CI, 1.04-1.08; P<0.001). Specifically, azithromycin randomization was associated with a higher relative prevalence of erm(B) (aPR, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.04-1.15]; P=0.001), erm(C) (aPR, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.14-1.31]; P<0.001), msr(A) (aPR, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.04-1.25]; P=0.007), and msr(D) (aPR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.03-1.11]; P=0.001). There was no difference in overall bacterial pathogen prevalence (18.9% vs 17.3%) between randomization arms, but a slightly lower proportion of children had Shigella after randomization in the azithromycin arm (3% vs. 5%, aPR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.62, 1.01]; P=0.063). InterpretationAzithromycin at hospital discharge was associated with higher carriage of macrolide-resistance-conferring genes in the post-discharge period compared with placebo, without significant declines in enteric pathogen carriage other than modest changes to Shigella. The potential benefits and risks of empiric azithromycin need to be considered, as children are increasingly exposed to this broad-spectrum antibiotic.
Sheth, E.; Case, L.; Shaw, F.; Dwyer, N.; Poland, J.; Wan, Y.; Larru, B.
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Background Pseudomonas aeruginosa is a major cause of healthcare-associated infections in paediatric settings, where its persistence in moist environments such as hospital water and wastewater systems poses a particular risk to neonates and immunocompromised children. Aim The aim of this study was to showcase the long-term survival and transmission of P. aeruginosa in a large tertiary children's hospital in England which is crucial to develop strategies for water-safe care. Methods Environmental P. aeruginosa isolates were collected from taps, sinks, showers, and baths in augmented care areas of a 330-bed tertiary children's hospital built to NHS water-safety standards. Clinical isolates were classified as invasive (blood, cerebrospinal fluid, and bronchoalveolar lavage) or non-invasive (respiratory, urine, ear, abdominal, and rectal surveillance). Variable number tandem repeat (VNTR) profiles and metadata were extracted from PDF reports, de-identified, deduplicated, and curated using Python and R. Findings This retrospective study analysed nine-locus VNTR profiles of 457 P. aeruginosa isolates submitted to the UK Health Security Agency from a large tertiary children's hospital, identifying 56 isolate clusters (each with [≥]2 isolates), of which 19 (34%) contained at least one invasive isolate. The most persistent cluster (Cluster 1, n=20) spanned from July 2016 to September 2024, containing environmental and clinical (invasive and non-invasive) isolates. Conclusion These findings demonstrate long-term persistence of certain genotypes and temporal overlap between environmental and clinical isolates, highlighting the difficulty in detecting and eradicating P. aeruginosa in hospital water and wastewater systems and reinforcing the need for continuous rigorous water system controls.
Thornton, C. R.; Davies, G. E.
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Background: Mucormycosis is a rapidly progressive and often fatal invasive fungal infection caused by moulds in the order, Mucorales. Early diagnosis is essential for effective clinical management; however, conventional diagnostic approaches such as culture and histopathology are slow, insensitive, and require specialist mycological expertise. Although molecular methods are available for disease detection, they are not widely accessible. At present, no enzyme immunoassay (EIA) exists for the detection of mucormycosis. Methods: A murine IgG1 monoclonal antibody (mAb), FH12, was generated against extracellular polysaccharides (EPSs) produced by Mucorales pathogens during active growth. The antibody was characterised for specificity, epitope stability, and antigen localisation using ELISA, immunoblotting, and immunofluorescence techniques. The mAb was incorporated into a Sandwich-ELISA and evaluated using culture filtrates, purified EPSs spiked into human serum, and tissue homogenates from a patient with cutaneous mucormycosis caused by Lichtheimia ramosa. Results: mAb FH12 demonstrated pan-Mucorales specificity and no cross-reactivity with other clinically relevant yeasts and moulds. The epitope recognised by FH12 is periodate-insensitive and moderately heat-stable. The Sandwich-ELISA detected EPS antigens in human serum with limits of detection ranging from pg/mL to low ng/mL levels, and successfully identified the EPS biomarker in patient tissue homogenates. Conclusion: The FH12-based Sandwich-ELISA shows high sensitivity and specificity, and has the potential to be used as a laboratory-based adjunct diagnostic test for the detection of mucormycosis in humans.
Swartwood, N.; Can, M. H.; Mortazavi, S. A.; Cui, H.; Singh, N.; Ryuk, D. K.; Horton, K.; MacPherson, P.; Menzies, N. A.
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BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are leading causes of infectious disease deaths, with disproportionate impact in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Despite well-established biological relationships between these diseases, there is limited information on how TB prevalence differs between people living with and without HIV. MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of TB prevalence surveys conducted in LMICs and published during January 1st 1993-October 13th 2025 (PROSPERO CRD42024503853). We extracted bacteriologically-confirmed TB prevalence estimates stratified by participant HIV status. Surveys that offered HIV testing to all, sputum-collection-eligible, or TB-positive participants were included in the primary analysis. We applied Bayesian meta-regression to estimate pooled risk ratios (RR) of bacteriologically-confirmed TB prevalence among participants living with versus without HIV. Additionally, we estimated country-level and overall TB notification-to-prevalence (N:P) ratios by HIV status. FindingsOf 10,211 potentially relevant publications, 12 TB prevalence surveys--representing 264,530 participants within nine countries in Southern and Eastern Africa--were used in the primary analysis. Reported TB prevalence was higher among participants living with versus without HIV in 11/12 surveys, with an overall pooled RR of 3{middle dot}86 (95% credible interval: 2{middle dot}41-5{middle dot}53). N:P ratios were higher among participants living with HIV in all examined countries. The overall pooled N:P ratios were 1{middle dot}74 (0{middle dot}59-4{middle dot}56) and 0{middle dot}48 (0{middle dot}17-1{middle dot}20) among participants living with versus without HIV, respectively. InterpretationIn Southern and Eastern Africa, bacteriologically-confirmed TB prevalence is three- to six-times higher among people living with HIV. Comparison of prevalence and notification data suggest higher rates of TB diagnosis for people living with versus without HIV, but also indicates substantial delays in the detection of untreated TB cases for both populations. FundingWellcome Trust, UK National Institute for Health and Care Research, UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, NIH. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSThere is limited systematic evidence on how the prevalence of TB disease differs between people living with HIV and without HIV. Multiple observational cohorts have described substantially elevated TB incidence among populations with HIV, but disease prevalence will also be affected by differences in mortality and treatment uptake rates. We searched PubMed from inception through January 21, 2026 using the search string ((HIV AND TB) OR HIV/TB) AND (prevalence AND (systematic review OR meta-analysis)) without any restrictions on language. We also reviewed investigators personal libraries. This search yielded 506 publications; however few of these included prevalence data. An analysis conducted in 2020 synthesized HIV status-stratified data from seven national TB prevalence surveys in Africa and found that HIV prevalence was lower among prevalent TB cases than among notified cases. This study did not include subnational surveys and did not distinguish between survey participants with self-reported or test-confirmed HIV status. Added value of this studyThis study synthesized TB prevalence data, stratified by participant HIV status, from national and subnational surveys conducted in LMICs and published between January 1st 1993 and October 13th, 2025. Collated data represented 681,402 survey participants across ten countries. All but one study were conducted in Southern and Eastern Africa. We limited our primary analysis to surveys that systematically tested participants for HIV and bacteriologically-confirmed TB. The prevalence of bacteriologically-confirmed TB was estimated to be three to six times higher than among people living with versus without HIV. Ratios of TB notifications to TB prevalence were higher for people living with HIV compared to people without HIV, suggesting higher rates of TB case detection (and likely shorter duration of disease) for people living with HIV and untreated TB than those without HIV. Implications of all available evidenceFew estimates of community-representative TB prevalence stratified by participant HIV status exist. These surveys have been concentrated in Southern and Eastern Africa, despite TB-HIV burden being distributed globally. Our findings highlight the elevated burden of TB among people living with HIV in these settings, as well as the limited data on the intersection of TB and HIV epidemiology in other world regions. Furthermore, our comparison of notification and prevalence data demonstrate substantial shortfalls in TB case detection, regardless of an individuals HIV status.
Sidiq, Z.; Tyagi, P.; Anand, A.; Dwivedi, K. K.; Rajpal, S.; Chopra, K. K.
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Abstract Background Timely diagnosis of tuberculosis and drug resistance remains a cornerstone of effective disease control. Multiplex open molecular platforms capable of simultaneously detecting Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBc), non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM), and resistance to first-line anti-tuberculosis drugs could streamline diagnostic pathways. Methods We conducted a laboratory-based evaluation of two multiplex real-time PCR assays (MTBc/NTM R-Gene and MTB-RIF/INH R-Gene) using 300 well-characterized samples, including 150 MTBc-positive culture isolates (including rifampicin-resistant, isoniazid-resistant, and drug-susceptible strains) and 150 MTBc-negative samples (50 NTM isolates and 100 mycobacteria-negative specimens). Composite reference standards included culture, MPT64 antigen testing, and line probe assay corroborated by phenotypic drug susceptibility testing for resistance profiling, with NTM speciation performed using a dedicated line probe assay. DNA extraction was performed using the QIAamp DNA Mini Kit (QIAGEN, Germany), followed by amplification on a real-time PCR platform according to manufacturer instructions. The diagnostic performance was assessed against composite reference standards. Results The analytical performance for detecting MTBc demonstrated 100% sensitivity and specificity (150/150). NTM detection showed 70.0% sensitivity (35/50) and a specificity of 100%, highlighting limitations in coverage of NTM species. Rifampicin resistance was detected with a sensitivity of 96.0% (48/50) and specificity of 100%, whereas isoniazid resistance detection was 100% sensitive and specific (50/50). Agreement with established reference standards was high ({kappa}=0.76-1.00) within this analytical context. Interpretation This analytical validation demonstrates that multiplex open real-time PCR assays can accurately and simultaneously detect MTBc, NTM, and rifampicin and isoniazid resistance using culture isolates. While these platforms offer potential advantages in flexibility and expanded resistance profiling, additional studies on clinical diagnostic accuracy, cost-effectiveness analyses, and operational feasibility are required to determine their practical utility and programmatic impact in high-burden settings
Kamulegeya, R.; Nabatanzi, R.; Semugenze, D.; Mugala, F.; Takuwa, M.; Nasinghe, E.; Musinguzi, D.; Namiiro, S.; Katumba, A.; Ssengooba, W.; Nakatumba-Nabende, J.; Kivunike, F. N.; Kateete, D. P.
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BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of infectious disease mortality worldwide, and treatment failure contributes to ongoing transmission, drug resistance, and poor clinical outcomes. Artificial intelligence and machine learning approaches have attracted growing interest for predicting tuberculosis treatment outcomes, but the literature is heterogeneous and lacks a comprehensive synthesis. MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies that developed or validated machine learning models to predict TB treatment failure. We searched PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase from January 2000 to October 2025. Studies were eligible if they developed, validated, or implemented an artificial intelligence or machine learning model for the prediction of TB treatment failure or a closely related poor outcome in patients receiving anti-TB treatment. Risk of bias was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed to pool area under the curve values, with subgroup analyses and meta-regression to explore heterogeneity. ResultsThirty-four studies were included in the systematic review, of which 19 reported area under the curve values suitable for meta-analysis (total participants, 100,790). Studies were published between 2014 and 2025, with 91% published from 2019 onward. Tree-based methods were the most common algorithm family (52.9%), and multimodal models integrating three or more data types were used in 41.2% of studies. The pooled area under the curve was 0.836 (95% confidence interval 0.799-0.868), with substantial heterogeneity (I{superscript 2} = 97.9%). In subgroup analyses, studies including HIV-positive participants showed lower discrimination (pooled area under the curve 0.748) compared to those excluding them (0.924). Only eight studies (23.5%) performed external validation, and only one study (2.9%) was rated as low risk of bias overall, primarily due to methodological concerns in the analysis domain. Eggers test suggested publication bias (p = 0.024). Major evidence gaps included underrepresentation of high-burden countries, HIV-affected populations, social determinants, pediatric TB, and extrapulmonary disease. ConclusionsMachine learning models for predicting TB treatment failure show promising discrimination but are not yet ready for routine clinical implementation. Performance varies substantially across populations and settings, and methodological limitations, including inadequate validation, poor calibration assessment, and high risk of bias, limit confidence in current estimates. Future research should prioritize rigorous external validation, calibration assessment, and development in underrepresented populations, particularly HIV-affected and high-burden settings. Author SummaryTB kills over a million people annually. While curable, treatment failure remains common and drives ongoing transmission and drug resistance. Researchers increasingly use artificial intelligence and machine learning to predict which patients will fail treatment, but it is unclear if these models are ready for clinical use. We reviewed 34 studies including nearly 1.1 million participants from 22 countries. On average, models correctly distinguished patients who would fail treatment from those who would not 84% of the time, a performance generally considered good. However, this average hid enormous variation. Models developed in populations including HIV-positive people performed substantially worse, suggesting prediction is harder with HIV co-infection. Worryingly, only one study used high-quality methods; 97% had serious flaws in handling missing data, checking calibration, or testing in new populations. Only eight studies validated their models in different settings. To conclude, we found that machine learning is promising in predicting TB treatment failure, but it is not ready for clinical use. Researchers should prioritize validation in high-burden settings, include social determinants, and improve methodological rigor before these tools can help patients.
Sy, M.; Ndiaye, T.; Thakur, R.; Gaye, A.; Levine, Z. C.; Ngom, B.; Bellavia, K. L.; Firer, D.; Toure, M.; Ndiaye, I. M.; Diedhiou, Y.; Mbaye, A. M.; Gomis, J. F.; DeRuff, K. C.; Deme, A. B.; Ndiaye, M.; Badiane, A. S.; Paye, M. F.; Sabeti, P. C.; Ndiaye, D.; Siddle, K. J.
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Emerging infectious diseases and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) have surfaced as two major public health threats over the past two decades. Consequently, integrative surveillance systems capable of detecting both emerging pathogens and resistance-carrying bacteria are crucial. With advances in next-generation sequencing, simultaneous detection of pathogens and AMR is increasingly feasible. In this study, we used short-read metatranscriptomics complemented by total 16S rRNA metagenomic long-read sequencing to analyze paired oral and plasma samples from a cohort of febrile individuals at two locations in Senegal. Oral microbiomes differed in community composition between locations, and reduced diversity and richness were significantly associated with high fever. We identified at least one known pathogen in 15.33 % (23/150) of samples, with Borrelia crocidurae as the most frequently detected pathogen. We detected both pathogenic and non-pathogenic viruses in oral (10/72) and plasma (09/78) samples. Finally, we observed a high frequency of genes associated with resistance and virulence: 10% of samples expressed at least one AMR gene (ARG), and 24% expressed virulence factor genes. Resistance to widely used beta-lactam antibiotics was the most prevalent. Our findings provide critical data on oral and plasma microbiomes in the context of acute febrile illness in Senegal while expanding understanding of circulating ARGs.
Tiseo, K.; Dräger, S.; Santhosh Kumar, H.; Alkhazashvili, M.; Hammann, A.; Risch, P.; Willi, R.; Mkhatvari, T.; Fialova, C.; Adlhart, C.; Szabo, D.; Suknidze, M.; Patchkoria, I.; Broger, T.; Ivanova Reipold, E.; Varshanidze, K.; Osthoff, M.
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1.Etiological diagnosis of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) relies on sputum or bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL), which may be difficult to obtain or invasive. Exhaled breath aerosol (XBA) sampling offers a non-invasive alternative for pathogen detection. We evaluated the performance of the AveloMask, a face mask-based device designed to capture XBAs for molecular testing. In this prospective paired-sample study, hospitalized adults with pneumonia at three hospitals in Switzerland and Georgia provided an XBA sample using the AveloMask and a lower respiratory tract (LRT) specimen (sputum or BAL). XBA samples were analyzed by multiplex PCR using the Roche LightMix(R) panel and LRT samples were tested using the BioFire(R) FilmArray(R) Pneumonia Panel. Concordance between XBA and LRT samples was assessed using positive percent agreement (PPA), negative percent agreement (NPA), and overall percent agreement (OPA). Ninety-three participants were enrolled and 63 participants provided paired samples. AveloMask sampling identified the dominant pathogen (lowest Ct value in the LRT sample) in 40/47 LRT-positive cases (85.1%). Across all targets, PPA was 61% (95%CI, 50-72%), NPA was 100% (95%CI, 99-100%), and OPA was 95% (95% CI, 92-96%). PPA was higher for bacteria than for viruses and lower PPA was largely driven by reduced detection of low-abundance or co-infecting pathogens. In a subset analysis, AveloMask results showed substantial overlap with standard-of-care testing and could have supported antimicrobial de-escalation. Breath aerosol sampling using the AveloMask enabled non-invasive molecular detection of LRT pathogens in pneumonia cases and may complement conventional standard-of-care testing, particularly when sputum is unavailable.
Olson, A. M.; Wood, R. C.; Sithole, N.; Govender, I.; Grant, A. D.; Smit, T.; David, A.; Stevens, W.; Scott, L.; Drain, P. K.; Cangelosi, G. A.; Shapiro, A. E.
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Background. Targeted Universal Tuberculosis Testing (TUTT) may increase tuberculosis (TB) case detection by including people who are not actively seeking TB care but are at high risk of the disease. Non-invasive tongue swab (TS) testing may facilitate TUTT. We evaluated two TS testing protocols in people with HIV (PWH) tested irrespective of TB symptoms. Methods. Study staff collected Copan FLOQSwab and Medline foam swab specimens, alongside urine and sputa, from PWH, most of whom were presenting for antiretroviral therapy initiation at primary healthcare clinics in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. FLOQSwabs were tested by sequence-specific magnetic capture (SSMaC) with qPCR (FLOQSwab-SSMaC). Foam swabs were tested by centrifuge-sedimentation and high-volume qPCR (foam-sedimentation). Urine lipoarabinomannan was detected using LF-LAM. The extended microbiological reference standard (eMRS) comprised any positive result on Xpert Ultra and/or liquid culture of sputum. Results. We enrolled 251 participants (median age 34 years, 56% female, 67% with self-reported TB symptoms). Participants had a median CD4 count of 347 cells/ul, and 16% (40/251) had prior TB. FLOQSwab-SSMaC was 43% sensitive (13/30) and 100% specific (131/131) relative to eMRS. Foam-sedimentation was 47% (9/29) sensitive and 100% (176/176) specific. Sensitivity increased to 52% (FLOQSwab-SSMaC) and 50% (foam-sedimentation) when sputum Xpert Ultra Trace positive results were excluded from eMRS. TS was more sensitive than urine LAM, and both sample types were more sensitive when CD4 counts were below 200. Discussion. TS testing detected about half of PWH with TB and outperformed urine LAM within this population, including among PWH with low CD4 counts.
James-Pemberton, P.; Harper, D.; Wagerfield, P.; Watson, C.; Hervada, L.; Kohli, S.; Alder, S.; Shaw, A.
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A multiplex diagnostic test is evaluated for self-reported long COVID associated persistent symptoms and a poor recovery from a SARS-CoV-2 infection. A mass-standardised concentration of total antibodies (AC), high-quality (HQ) antibodies and percentage of HQ antibodies (HQ%) is assessed against a spectrum of spike proteins to the SARS-CoV-2 variants: Wuhan, , {delta}, and the Omicron variants BA.1, BA.2, BA.2.12.1, BA.2.75, BA.5, CH.1.1, BQ.1.1 and XBB.1.5 in three cohorts. A cohort of control patients (n = 46) recovered (CC) and a cohort of self-declared long COVID patients (n = 113) (LCC). A nested Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, performed for the variant with lowest HQ concentration in the spectrum, produced an area under the curve and AUC = 0.61 (0.53-0.70) for the CC vs LCC cohorts. For the LCC cohort, the cut-off thresholds for AC = 0.8 mg/L, HQ = 1.5 mg/L and HQ% of 34% were determined, leading to a 71% sensitivity and 66% specificity derived by the Youden metric. The cohorts may be fully classified based on ROC and outlier analysis to give an incidence of persistent virus 62% (95% CI 52% - 71%), hyperimmune 12% (95% CI 7% - 20%) and unclassified, 26% (95% CI 18% - 35%). The overall diagnostic accuracy for both the hyper and hypo immune is 69%. All clinical interventions can now be tailored for the heterogenous long COVID patient cohort.
Chen, B.; Zambrana, J. V.; Shotwell, A.; Sanchez, N.; Plazaola, M.; Ojeda, S.; Lopez, R.; Stadlbauer, D.; Kuan, G.; Balmaseda, A.; Krammer, F.; Gordon, A.
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Background: Although the hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) titer remains the gold standard correlate of protection against influenza, it does not fully capture the broader antibody responses that contribute to immunity. Methods: We analyzed immune responses in paired pre-infection and convalescent sera from 306 RT-PCR-confirmed A/H3N2 infections from two household studies (2014-18) in Managua, Nicaragua. Antibody responses were measured by HAI and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) against full-length hemagglutinin (HA), the HA stalk, and neuraminidase (NA). Participants were classified as HAI responders ([≥]4-fold HAI rise), alternate responders (no HAI rise but [≥]4-fold boost in [≥]1 ELISA), or no-response individuals (no [≥]4-fold rise in any assay). We compared demographic, clinical, and pre-infection antibody characteristics across these groups. We also analyzed predictors of an NA response. Results: Overall, 77% of participants had HAI seroconversion or a 4-fold rise. Among the 23% HAI non-responders, 62% had alternate antibody responses. No-response individuals had the highest pre-infection HAI and full-length HA titers (p < 0.0001), the lowest viral loads, and the fewest fever or influenza like illness (ILI) symptoms (p < 0.01). An NA response was more common among symptomatic individuals (p = 0.0483) and those with low or high baseline NA titers. Conclusions: High baseline HAI titers can limit detectable 4-fold rises and are associated with milder illness. Evaluating additional immune responses may capture a more complete picture of the host response to infection, thereby improving surveillance and informing vaccine development. Keywords: Influenza A/H3N2; Hemagglutination inhibition (HAI); Neuraminidase antibodies; symptomatic vs asymptomatic infection; correlates of protection.
MacLean, E. L.; Ma, T. T.; Chuong, L. H.; Minh, K. H.; Hoddinott, G.; Pham, Y. N.; Tiep, H. T.; Nguyen, T.-A.; Fox, G.; Nguyen, N. T.
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Introduction Improved diagnostics are needed for people at risk of tuberculosis, especially adolescents. Tongue swab (TS) molecular testing has emerged as a promising strategy for tuberculosis diagnosis. We evaluated diagnostic accuracy and acceptability of Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert) using TS samples for tuberculosis detection among adolescents. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study with consecutive recruitment in Vietnam. Adolescents aged 10-19 who were recommended to undergo investigation for tuberculosis and had not received tuberculosis treatment in the past years were eligible. Participants provided TS and sputum samples and completed a structured survey regarding sampling experiences. TS was tested on Xpert, with sputum tested on Xpert and liquid culture. We utilised a composite reference standard of a positive result on sputum Xpert or sputum culture to define disease status. Sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic yield were calculated for TS Xpert. Results From July to December 2025, we enrolled 225 adolescents from Can Tho and An Giang provinces in southern Vietnam. Fewer than half (96/225, 43%) the participants exhibited a tuberculosis -like symptom, and the majority (157/225, 70%) were close contacts of a person recently diagnosed with tuberculosis. TS were collected from all adolescents, while 116 (52%) could provide mucopurulent sputum. Tuberculosis prevalence was relatively low (12/225, 5.3%). TS Xpert sensitivity (90% CI) and specificity (90% CI) were 58.3% (35.6, 78.0) and 99.5% (97.9, 99.9), respectively. Diagnostic yield among all diagnosed was 58.3% (7/12). TS sampling was highly acceptable to adolescents; the short time and simplicity of collecting TS were considered favourably. Conclusions The sensitivity and diagnostic yield of TS Xpert was relatively low among adolescents recommended for tuberculosis investigation, which includes asymptomatic individuals who may not provide high quality sputum. Specificity was excellent, and everyone could provide a TS. TS high acceptability indicates it remains a promising sample for diagnostic algorithms.
Mills, E. A.; Bingham, R.; Nijman, R. G.; Sriskandan, S.
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BackgroundAn upsurge in Streptococcus pyogenes infections 2022-2023 highlighted potential benefits of point-of-care tests (POCT) to support clinical pathways, prevent outbreaks, and optimise antibiotic use. ObjectivesWe conducted a pilot research study in a west London paediatric emergency department (ED) to determine whether a molecular POCT had potential to alter management in children who were also having a conventional throat swab taken for culture. MethodsChildren <16 years presenting to ED who had a throat swab requested by a clinician were invited to have a second swab taken for research purposes only. Clinical management was unaffected by the research swab result, which was processed using a molecular POCT that was not approved for use in the host NHS Trust. ResultsPrevalence of streptococcal infection was low during the study (May 2023-June 2025); swab positivity in symptomatic children was 12.8% (6/47). Overall, 38/49 (77.6%) participants who had throat swabs received antibiotics. Of those children recommended to receive antibiotics, 29/38 (76.3%) had a negative POCT. Mean time to reporting of positive throat swab culture results was 3.67 days (range 3-5 days) leading to occasional delay in treatment, although POCT identified positive results within minutes. ConclusionAntibiotic use was frequent and could be avoided or stopped by use of a rule out POCT in over three-quarters of children in the ED, if suspicion of S. pyogenes is the main driver for prescribing. POCT were easy to process and produced immediate results compared with culture, in theory enabling timely decision-making and avoiding treatment delay.
Robert, A.; Goodfellow, L.; Pellis, L.; van Leeuwen, E.; Edmunds, W. J.; Quilty, B. J.; van Zandvoort, K.; Eggo, R. M.
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BackgroundIn England, the burden of respiratory infections varies by ethnicity, contributing to health inequalities, but the role of additional demographic factors remains underexplored. We quantified how differences in social mixing and demographic characteristics between ethnic groups cause inequalities in transmission dynamics. MethodsWe analysed the association between the ethnicity and the number of contacts of 12,484 participants in the 2024-2025 Reconnect social contact survey, using a negative binomial regression model. We simulated respiratory pathogen epidemics using a compartmental model stratified by age, ethnicity, and contact levels, at a national level and in major cities in England. FindingsAfter adjusting for demographic variables, participants of Black and Mixed ethnicities had more contacts than those of White ethnicity (rate ratios (RR): 1.18 [95% Credible Interval (CI): 1.11-1.26], and 1.31 [95% CI: 1.14-1.52]). Participants of Asian ethnicity had fewer contacts (RR: 0.85 [95% CI: 0.79-0.91]). In national-level simulations, individuals of White ethnicity had the lowest attack rates due to demographic differences and mixing patterns. Local demographic structures changed simulated dynamics: attack rates in individuals of Black and Mixed ethnicities were approximately double those of White ethnicity in Birmingham, but less than 60% higher in Liverpool. InterpretationDemographic characteristics and mixing patterns create inequalities in transmission dynamics between ethnicities, while local demographic characteristics and pathogen infectiousness change the expected relative burden. To ensure mitigation strategies are effective and equitable, their evaluation must explicitly account for inequalities arising from local context. FundingMedical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, Wellcome Trust Research in context Evidence before this studyWe searched PubMed for population-based studies quantifying differences in respiratory infections between ethnic groups, up to 1 April 2026, with no language restrictions. Keywords included: (respiratory pathogens OR influenza OR COVID-19) AND (ethnic* OR race) AND (inequ*) AND (compartmental model OR incidence rate ratio OR hazard ratio). We excluded studies that focused on non-respiratory pathogens (e.g. looking at consequences of COVID-19 on incidence of other pathogens). A population-based cohort study showed that influenza infection risk was higher in South Asian, Black, and Mixed ethnic groups compared to White ethnicity in England. Another population-based cohort study highlighted that during the first wave of COVID-19 in England, the South Asian, Black, and Mixed ethnic groups were more likely to test positive and to be hospitalised than the White ethnic group. Census data in England showed that the distributions of age, household size, household income and employment status differed between ethnic groups, and the recent Reconnect social contact surveys highlighted the impact of each demographic factor on the participants number of contacts. Added value of this studyOur study shows that social contact patterns, mixing, and demographic structure all lead to unequal infection risk between ethnic groups in respiratory pathogen epidemics. Using the largest available social contact survey in England, we show that both the average number of contacts and the proportion of high-contact individuals varied by ethnic group, even after adjusting for participants demographics. These differences, together with mixing patterns and age structure, led to lower expected incidence among individuals of White ethnicity than in all other ethnic groups in simulated outbreaks. The level of inequality between ethnic groups changed when we used different values of pathogen transmissibility. Finally, as ethnic composition and population structure differ between cities in England, our results show differences in expected inequalities at a local level. Implications of all the available evidenceInequalities in infection risk between ethnic groups are context- and pathogen-dependent. They arise from both local population structure and contact patterns. Detailed information on mixing between groups and population structure is needed to accurately measure group-specific infection risk. These findings indicate that public health interventions based only on national-level estimates conceal regional variation in risk and may ultimately increase inequalities. Public health interventions need to be tailored to local contexts to be equitable and effective. Finally, our findings provide a foundation for understanding the progression from infection-risk inequalities to disparities in disease presentation and clinical outcomes.
Hu, F.; Wei, J.; Muller-Pebody, B.; Hope, R.; Brown, C.; Carreira, H.; Demirjian, A.; Walker, A. S.; Eyre, D. W.
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Objectives: To identifiy risk factors for antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in seven pathogen-antimicrobial combinations in patients with cancer and cancer survivors. Methods: Using data from patients with recent or past cancer diagnostic codes in Oxfordshire, UK, we examined associations between 22 potential risk-factors and AMR in blood culture isolates, collected between 1-April-2015 and 31-March-2025. Results: Among 5,975 bacteraemias in 4,365 adults, we analysed 3,141 (52.6%) due to Enterobacterales and 620 (10.4%) due to Enterococcus faecalis/faecium in 2,752 patients. Fourteen risk-factors for antimicrobial-resistant bacteraemia were identified, varying across pathogen-antimicrobial combinations. Compared with no previous antimicrobial susceptibility test result, prior resistance to the same antibiotic in any culture in the last year was strongly associated with AMR across all pathogen-antimicrobial combinations (all p<=0.001). Prior antibiotic exposure and younger age were also positively associated with AMR in four and five combinations, respectively. Cancer type showed modest effects; lymphoid/haematopoietic malignancies were associated with higher odds (vs colorectal cancer) of trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole-resistant Enterobacterales (aOR=2.07 95%CI 1.40-3.06) and vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus bacteraemia (aOR=6.68, 1.21-36.91). Conclusions: Previous resistance was the greatest risk factor for bacteraemia with AMR in cancer patients and survivors, with prior antibiotic exposure and age also contributing. Lymphoid/haematopoietic malignancies increased risk of resistance to specific antimicrobials. Keywords: antimicrobial resistance, bacteraemia, cancer, risk factors
Heintzman, A. A.; Cumbe, Z. A.; Cumbane, V.; Cumming, O.; Holcomb, D.; Keenum, I.; Knee, J.; Monteiro, V.; Nala, R.; Brown, J.; Capone, D.
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Wastewater surveillance is increasingly used for antimicrobial resistance (AMR) monitoring in urban environments, but low-resource settings often lack a piped sewerage system. Instead, coprophagous flies--flies that ingest feces--may serve as composite samplers for monitoring fecal wastes present in terrestrial environments. We evaluated whether the class 1 integron-integrase gene intI1 was associated with genetic markers of AMR and fecal source tracking markers (FST) in coprophagous flies collected from latrine entrances and food preparation areas in low-income urban Maputo, Mozambique. We quantified intI1, an enteric 16S rRNA target (for normalization), three FST markers, and 30 ARG targets using qPCR. We normalized concentrations of intI1 and each target to enteric 16S rRNA. We fit linear mixed models with a random intercept for housing compound to estimate within-fly associations between log10 relative abundance of intI1 and log10 relative abundance of each target with and without adjustment for fly taxonomic group, capture location, and standardized fly mass. We also modeled per-fly unique ARG count (i.e., number of ARG targets detected) using Poisson regression. Of 188 flies assayed, 176 passed internal controls; intI1 and enteric 16S rRNA were detected in 95% and 96% of flies, respectively. Higher relative abundance of intI1 was positively associated with ARG and FST targets, with the strongest associations observed for sulfonamide-(sul1: {beta} = 0.87; 95% CI: 0.81, 0.94; sul2: {beta} = 0.81; 95% CI: 0.73, 0.89), tetracycline- (tetA: {beta} = 0.78; 95% CI: 0.70, 0.85; tetB: {beta} = 0.69; 95% CI: 0.60, 0.79), and trimethoprim-related (dfrA17: {beta} = 0.78; 95% CI: 0.70, 0.86) genes. Associations with FST markers were weaker (i.e., human mtDNA: {beta} = 0.46; 95% CI: 0.37, 0.55; human-associated Bacteroides: {beta} = 0.34; 95% CI: 0.25, 0.43). Higher relative abundance of intI1 was also associated with a greater number of ARGs detected: each 10-fold increase in intI1 was associated with an 8% higher expected unique ARG count (aRR=1.08, 95% CI: 1.04-1.12). These findings support the need for further research across different settings exploring intI1 carried by coprophagous flies as a potential standardized screening target for AMR surveillance in unsewered terrestrial environments.
Welham, E.; Park de la Torriente, A.; Arng Lee, J.; Keith, M.; McAteer, S. P.; Paterson, G. K.; Gally, D. L.; Low, A. S.
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Phage therapeutics are re-emerging as adjuncts or alternatives to antibiotics and their clinical translation will be enhanced with production methods that minimise downstream processing. We evaluated whether an endotoxin-reduced E. coli strain developed for production of recombinant proteins, ClearColi(R), can serve as a useful, safe phage production host without compromising yield and whether targeted receptor complementation can expand its utility. The parent strain BL21(DE3), and its lipid A modified derivative, ClearColi(R), were compared with respect to infection and generation of phage. Across a panel of 31 phage, a similar host range was observed between BL21(DE3) and ClearColi(R). To expand host range ompC was genetically engineered into the chromosome of ClearColi(R), thereby adding OmpC-dependent phage to its production capacity. Production metrics were broadly comparable between the hosts; efficiency of plating and final titres for representative phage were not significantly different; burst size varied by phage but without consistent host bias. Endotoxin activity in ClearColi(R)-propagated lysates was reduced by over 1000-fold relative to BL21(DE3), reaching the low hundreds of endotoxin units (EU) versus hundreds of thousands for BL21(DE3). Intravesical administration of ClearColi(R)-derived phage (LUC4) into pigs elicited no clinical abnormalities and no significant increases in circulating cytokines up to 48 hours after administration. ClearColi(R) allows efficient production of diverse phage with low endotoxin, reducing the requirement for downstream processing. Although its minimal LPS reduces its capacity for producing some LPS-dependent phage and its growth is slower than BL21(DE3), requiring optimisation for maximal phage titre, the safety and simplified manufacturing process support further development of endotoxin modified strains for phage production. Impact statementAntibiotic resistance is a current global problem and treatments based on phage and phage products already have a proven track record with particular bacterial infections, especially in the urinary tract. While progress is being made on in vitro phage synthesis, large scale bacteriophage preparations require a bacterial host for production, consequently toxic components in the initial lysate need to be removed or significantly diluted for safe clinical use. This is a study of the potential to utilise an endotoxin-reduced E. coli strain, ClearColi(R), to produce safer phage therapeutics. Such endotoxin modified strains should minimise the processing steps required and reduce overall production costs of a phage preparation. The research demonstrates that the endotoxin-reduced strain was able to produce a wide range of phage and for studied examples at phage titres equivalent to the more toxic parent strain. We also show that the strain can be modified to increase its host range and confirm the very low endotoxicity of basic phage lysates produced by the strain. Replicating this process to engineer additional low-toxicity bacterial production strains will accelerate the development of safer, more cost-effective phage therapeutics.
Gallardo Mejia, A.; Almeida, J.
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Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are among the most common infectious diseases worldwide, with Escherichia coli being the predominant uropathogen. The increasing prevalence of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL)-producing strains and their association with fluoroquinolone resistance pose a significant challenge to empirical therapy, particularly in community settings. The aim of this study was to determine the epidemiology and predictive factors associated with ESBL-producing E. coli and its concomitant fluoroquinolone resistance in community-acquired clinical isolates. A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted analyzing 244 clinical E. coli isolates. Demographic and microbiological data were collected, including age, sex, sample type, and antibiotic susceptibility. Associations between variables and ESBL production were assessed using Pearsons chi-squared test, and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Of the isolates, 165 (68%) were ESBL-producing. A significant association was observed between age group and ESBL production (p < 0.001), with the highest frequency in the 20-39 age group. Most ESBL-positive isolates were obtained from women (73%), although odds ratio (OR) analysis suggested a non-significant trend toward a higher probability in men (OR = 1.29; 95% CI: 0.72-2.31). High rates of fluoroquinolone resistance were identified among the ESBL-producing isolates, with 30% resistance to levofloxacin and 35% to ciprofloxacin (p < 0.001). Urine samples showed the highest concentration of ESBL-positive isolates, with a significant association between sample type and resistance (p < 0.001). The high prevalence of ESBL-producing E. coli and its concomitant resistance to fluoroquinolones highlight a critical challenge for the empirical treatment of urinary tract infections in Mexico, underscoring the need to strengthen antimicrobial use management and local surveillance strategies.
Sawadogo, J. W.; Hema, A.; Diarra, A.; Kabore, J. M.; Hien, D.; Kouraogo, L.; Zou, A. R.; Ouedraogo, A. Z.; Tiono, A. B.; Datta, S.; Pasetti, M. F.; Neuzil, K. M.; Sirima, S. B.; Ouedraogo, A.; Laurens, M. B.
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Typhoid fever remains a significant public health challenge in low- and middle-income countries. In 2018, The World Health Organization recommended a single dose typhoid conjugate vaccine (TCV) for routine immunization in endemic settings; however, evidence guiding booster doses remains limited. Homologous TCV booster doses have demonstrated immune boosting. This study assessed the immunogenicity and safety of a heterologous booster using a Vi capsular polysaccharide-CRM197 TCV (Vi-CRM) administered 5-6 years after primary vaccination with a Vi capsular polysaccharide tetanus toxoid TCV (Vi-TT) in children. Children previously enrolled in a Phase 2 trial were recruited. Participants who had received TCV at 9-11 or 15-23 months were given a Vi-CRM booster at 6-7 years of age (Booster-TCV group), and controls received their first TCV dose at the same age (1st-TCV group). Serum anti-Vi IgG concentrations were measured at baseline and 28 days post-vaccination. Solicited and unsolicited adverse events (AEs) and serious adverse events (SAEs) were recorded. Among 147 children enrolled, 87 received a second and 60 received a first TCV dose. Baseline anti-Vi IgG geometric mean titers (GMT) were higher in the Booster-TCV group (21.5 EU/mL; 95% CI: 17.2-26.8) than in the 1st-TCV group (5.5 EU/mL; 95% CI: 4.5-6.7). At day 28, GMTs rose markedly in both groups: 5140.0 EU/mL (95% CI: 4302.0-6141.3) in the Booster-TCV group and 2084.8 EU/mL (95% CI: 1724.4-2520.5) in the 1st-TCV group. Local reactions and systemic AEs were mild. No SAEs were observed. Vi-TT-induced immunity persisted for at least 5-6 years, and a heterologous booster triggered a strong immune response with universal seroconversion. These findings support heterologous prime-boost strategies to maintain protection in school-age children and inform optimization of TCV schedules in endemic regions.